The Green Group at the ATP Finals is set to be a competitive one, with Novak Djokovic leading the pack as a strong favorite to advance. With odds of +140, Djokovic is coming into the event on an impressive 18-match winning streak, all on hard courts. His recent victory at the Rolex Paris Masters showcased his ability to perform well in indoor conditions, winning 80% of his career indoor matches. In addition, Djokovic has a dominant record against the other players in the group, with a combined 17-5 record. He has never lost to Jannik Sinner and has won nine consecutive matches against Stefanos Tsitsipas. Although Holger Rune has a 2-2 record against Djokovic, the Serb recently secured a tight three-set victory over the 20-year-old in Paris.
While Djokovic is a strong favorite, the battle for the second spot in the semifinals is likely to be between Sinner and Tsitsipas. Despite Sinner’s strong performance throughout the season, Tsitsipas holds a 5-2 record against the Italian in their head-to-head matchups. Tsitsipas’ impressive form in recent months, combined with his powerful serve and forehand, gives him an edge over the other two contenders. With pressure mounting in the ATP Finals, Sinner may struggle to maintain his composure, potentially leading to crucial mistakes in his performance.
As for Holger Rune, his recent performances do not inspire much confidence. While he has shown improvement in recent weeks, he is still far from his peak form at the end of 2022 and the beginning of 2023.
Overall, Djokovic stands as the clear favorite to advance from the Green Group, with Tsitsipas positioned as a strong contender for the second spot in the semifinals. Sinner and Rune face an uphill battle to secure a spot in the later stages of the tournament.